Håkan Nilsson

The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments

Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter; Lindskog, Marcus; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of Frontiers in Psychology, p. 851, 2014

• DOI for The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments

Inferring Conjunctive Probabilities From Noisy Samples: Evidence for the Configural Weighted Average Model

Jenny, Mirjam A.; Rieskamp, Joerg; Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, p. 203-217, 2014

• DOI for Inferring Conjunctive Probabilities From Noisy Samples: Evidence for the Configural Weighted Average Model

Den paradoxalaspelkonsumenten? Om påverkan vid satsningar på sportsspel med odds.

Andersson, Patric; Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Marknadsföring och påverkanpå konsumenten, p. 213-232, Studentlitteratur AB, 2014

Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Jenny, Mirjam

Part of Frontiers in Psychology, p. 101, 2013

• DOI for Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities
• Download full text (pdf) of Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities

People systematically overestimate conjunctive probabilities.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Winman, Anders; Jenny, Mirjam et al.

2013

The role of ANS-acuity and numeracy for the accuracy of subjective probability judgments.

Winman, Anders; Lindskog, Marcus; Nilsson, Håkan; Kerimi, Neda et al.

2013

Combo bets are more attractive than single bets.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2013

Can bettors convert odds into probabilities? Three studies of how oddsin sports betting is perceived as probabilistic information.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2012

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

Part of Journal of mathematical psychology (Print), p. 84-93, 2011

• DOI for Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory

Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders; Lindskog, Marcus

Part of Cognition, p. 248-267, 2011

• DOI for Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for models of decision under uncertainty.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

2011

Are bets with the odds of 3.1 more likely than bets with the odds of 21/10? How odds in sports betting are perceived as probabilistic information.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2011

Can bettors convert odds into probabilities?

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2011

Making the Seemingly Impossible Appear Possible: Effects of Conjunction Fallacies in Evaluations of Bets on Football Games

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

Part of Journal of Economic Psychology, p. 172-180, 2010

• DOI for Making the Seemingly Impossible Appear Possible: Effects of Conjunction Fallacies in Evaluations of Bets on Football Games

The rationality of weighting and adding probabilities.

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders

2009

Linda is not a bearded lady: Configural weighting and adding as the cause of extension errors

Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter; Hansson, Göran

Part of Journal of experimental psychology. General, p. 517-534, 2009

• DOI for Linda is not a bearded lady: Configural weighting and adding as the cause of extension errors

Probability theory: Not the very guide of life

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders

Part of Psychological review, p. 856-874, 2009

• DOI for Probability theory: Not the very guide of life

Effects of conjunction fallacies in evaluating football bets.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2009

Conjunctive probabilities and monetary incentives.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

2009

The effects of monetary incentives on how conjunctive probabilities areassessed.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

2009

Exemplars in the Mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, p. 201-212, 2008

• DOI for Exemplars in the Mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic

Exploring the conjunction fallacy within a category learning framework

Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, p. 471-490, 2008

• DOI for Exploring the conjunction fallacy within a category learning framework

The Cognitive Substrate of Subjective Probability

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik; Juslin, Peter

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition, p. 600-620, 2005

The cognitive substrate of subjective probability.

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik; Juslin, Peter

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, p. 600-20, 2005

Categorization vs. inference: Shift in attention or representation?

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2005

From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, p. 868-873, 2003

Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity–graded probability

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, p. 471-476, 2001

The similarity-updating model of probability judgment and belief revision

Albrecht, Rebecca; Jenny, Mirjam A.; Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

Part of Psychological review, p. 1088-1111, 2021

• DOI for The similarity-updating model of probability judgment and belief revision

Preference or Ability: Exploring the Relations between Risk Preference, Personality, and Cognitive Abilities

Millroth, Philip; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, p. 477-491, 2020

• DOI for Preference or Ability: Exploring the Relations between Risk Preference, Personality, and Cognitive Abilities

Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking

Stefansson, Elis; Jiang, Frank J.; Nekouei, Ehsan; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of IFAC-PapersOnLine, p. 15338-15345, 2020

• DOI for Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking
• Download full text (pdf) of Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory: Commentary

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

Part of Journal of mathematical psychology (Print), 2020

• DOI for Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory: Commentary

The decision paradoxes motivating Prospect Theory: The prevalence of the paradoxes increases with numerical ability

Millroth, Philip; Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter

Part of Judgment and Decision Making, p. 513-533, 2019

• Download full text (pdf) of The decision paradoxes motivating Prospect Theory: The prevalence of the paradoxes increases with numerical ability

The similarity-updating model of probability judgment and belief revision

Albrecht, Rebecca; Jenny, Mirjam A.; Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

Part of Psychological review, p. 1088-1111, 2021

• DOI for The similarity-updating model of probability judgment and belief revision

Preference or Ability: Exploring the Relations between Risk Preference, Personality, and Cognitive Abilities

Millroth, Philip; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, p. 477-491, 2020

• DOI for Preference or Ability: Exploring the Relations between Risk Preference, Personality, and Cognitive Abilities

Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking

Stefansson, Elis; Jiang, Frank J.; Nekouei, Ehsan; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of IFAC-PapersOnLine, p. 15338-15345, 2020

• DOI for Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking
• Download full text (pdf) of Modeling the decision-making in human driver overtaking

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory: Commentary

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

Part of Journal of mathematical psychology (Print), 2020

• DOI for Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory: Commentary

The decision paradoxes motivating Prospect Theory: The prevalence of the paradoxes increases with numerical ability

Millroth, Philip; Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter

Part of Judgment and Decision Making, p. 513-533, 2019

• Download full text (pdf) of The decision paradoxes motivating Prospect Theory: The prevalence of the paradoxes increases with numerical ability

Examining the Integrity of Evaluations of Risky Prospects Using a Single-Stimuli Design

Millroth, Philip; Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter

Part of Decision, p. 362-377, 2017

• DOI for Examining the Integrity of Evaluations of Risky Prospects Using a Single-Stimuli Design

Sequential and myopic: On the use of feedback to balance cost and utility in a simulated electricity efficiency task

Juslin, Peter; Elwin, Ebba; Guath, Mona; Millroth, Philip et al.

Part of Journal of Cognitive Psychology, p. 106-128, 2016

• DOI for Sequential and myopic: On the use of feedback to balance cost and utility in a simulated electricity efficiency task

Heuristics Can Produce Surprisingly Rational Probability Estimates: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014)

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders

Part of Psychological review, p. 103-111, 2016

• DOI for Heuristics Can Produce Surprisingly Rational Probability Estimates: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014)

Do Bettors Correctly Perceive Odds?: Three Studies of How Bettors Interpret Betting Odds as Probabilistic Information

Andersson, Patric; Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, p. 331-346, 2015

• DOI for Do Bettors Correctly Perceive Odds?: Three Studies of How Bettors Interpret Betting Odds as Probabilistic Information

The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments

Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter; Lindskog, Marcus; Nilsson, Håkan et al.

Part of Frontiers in Psychology, p. 851, 2014

• DOI for The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments

Inferring Conjunctive Probabilities From Noisy Samples: Evidence for the Configural Weighted Average Model

Jenny, Mirjam A.; Rieskamp, Joerg; Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, p. 203-217, 2014

• DOI for Inferring Conjunctive Probabilities From Noisy Samples: Evidence for the Configural Weighted Average Model

Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Jenny, Mirjam

Part of Frontiers in Psychology, p. 101, 2013

• DOI for Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities
• Download full text (pdf) of Exploring theoverestimation of conjunctive probabilities

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

Part of Journal of mathematical psychology (Print), p. 84-93, 2011

• DOI for Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory

Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders; Lindskog, Marcus

Part of Cognition, p. 248-267, 2011

• DOI for Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats

Making the Seemingly Impossible Appear Possible: Effects of Conjunction Fallacies in Evaluations of Bets on Football Games

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

Part of Journal of Economic Psychology, p. 172-180, 2010

• DOI for Making the Seemingly Impossible Appear Possible: Effects of Conjunction Fallacies in Evaluations of Bets on Football Games

Linda is not a bearded lady: Configural weighting and adding as the cause of extension errors

Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter; Hansson, Göran

Part of Journal of experimental psychology. General, p. 517-534, 2009

• DOI for Linda is not a bearded lady: Configural weighting and adding as the cause of extension errors

Probability theory: Not the very guide of life

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Winman, Anders

Part of Psychological review, p. 856-874, 2009

• DOI for Probability theory: Not the very guide of life

Exemplars in the Mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, p. 201-212, 2008

• DOI for Exemplars in the Mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic

Exploring the conjunction fallacy within a category learning framework

Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, p. 471-490, 2008

• DOI for Exploring the conjunction fallacy within a category learning framework

The Cognitive Substrate of Subjective Probability

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik; Juslin, Peter

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition, p. 600-620, 2005

The cognitive substrate of subjective probability.

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik; Juslin, Peter

Part of Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, p. 600-20, 2005

Den paradoxalaspelkonsumenten? Om påverkan vid satsningar på sportsspel med odds.

Andersson, Patric; Nilsson, Håkan

Part of Marknadsföring och påverkanpå konsumenten, p. 213-232, Studentlitteratur AB, 2014

In Search of Prototypes and Feminist Bank-Tellers: Exploring the Representativeness Heuristic

Nilsson, Håkan

2008

• Download full text (pdf) of In Search of Prototypes and Feminist Bank-Tellers: Exploring the Representativeness Heuristic

People systematically overestimate conjunctive probabilities.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Winman, Anders; Jenny, Mirjam et al.

2013

The role of ANS-acuity and numeracy for the accuracy of subjective probability judgments.

Winman, Anders; Lindskog, Marcus; Nilsson, Håkan; Kerimi, Neda et al.

2013

Combo bets are more attractive than single bets.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2013

Can bettors convert odds into probabilities? Three studies of how oddsin sports betting is perceived as probabilistic information.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2012

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for models of decision under uncertainty.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

2011

Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for models of decision under uncertainty.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan

2011

Are bets with the odds of 3.1 more likely than bets with the odds of 21/10? How odds in sports betting are perceived as probabilistic information.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2011

Can bettors convert odds into probabilities?

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2011

The rationality of weighting and adding probabilities.

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders

2009

Effects of conjunction fallacies in evaluating football bets.

Nilsson, Håkan; Andersson, Patric

2009

Conjunctive probabilities and monetary incentives.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

2009

The effects of monetary incentives on how conjunctive probabilities areassessed.

Nilsson, Håkan; Rieskamp, Jörg

2009

Categorization vs. inference: Shift in attention or representation?

Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2005

From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task

Nilsson, Håkan; Juslin, Peter; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, p. 868-873, 2003

Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity–graded probability

Juslin, Peter; Nilsson, Håkan; Olsson, Henrik

Part of Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, p. 471-476, 2001