Entry requirements

120 credits including (1) Applied Statistics, or (2) Probability Theory I and Inference Theory I. Proficiency in English equivalent to the Swedish upper secondary course English 6.

Learning outcomes

On completion of the course the student shall be able to:

• use Bayesian methodology for estimating failure intensities and risks and evaluate the results;
• formulate models where the Poisson process, in time or space, is used for modelling of rare events and related risks;
• use basic methodology for statistical analysis of extreme values;
• choose suitable statistical methodology for probabilistic risk analysis within sociotechnical applications.

Content

Conditional distributions. Bayesian methods for estimation of failure intensities and risks. The Poisson process and Poisson regression. Extreme-value analysis. Applications within e.g. power- or manufacturing industry, enviromental technology, medicine and community planning.

Instruction

Lectures, computersessions. Guest lecture. Case studies.

Assessment

Written examination at the end of the course (4 credits) combined with assignments during the course (1 credit).

If there are special reasons for doing so, an examiner may make an exception from the method of assessment indicated and allow a student to be assessed by another method. An example of special reasons might be a certificate regarding special pedagogical support from the disability coordinator of the university.

Other directives

The course may not be included in the same higher education qualifications as 1MS040 or 1MS027.