Gabriele Messori
Professor of Meteorology at Department of Earth Sciences; Program for Air, Water and Landscape Sciences; Meteorology
- Telephone:
- +46 18 471 25 88
- E-mail:
- gabriele.messori@geo.uu.se
- Visiting address:
- Geocentrum, Villavägen 16
752 36 Uppsala - Postal address:
- Villavägen 16
752 36 UPPSALA
Affiliated Professor at Uppsala University Future Institutes (UUniFI); UUniFI Goal Conflicts
- E-mail:
- gabriele.messori@geo.uu.se
- Visiting address:
- Segerstedthuset, Dag Hammarskjölds v 7
751 05 Uppsala - Postal address:
- Box 256
751 05 Uppsala
- Academic merits:
- Docent
Short presentation
My main research interests are physical drivers of extreme weather and extreme weather impacts. I use a range of approaches, including dynamical systems theory, machine learning and other statistical analyses. Other research interests include meridional energy transport in the atmosphere and large-scale atmospheric dynamics.
Keywords
- extreme weather events
- atmosphere
- climate science
- windstorms
- heatwaves
- cold spells
- weather forecasts
- climate impacts
Biography
Gabriele Messori obtained his M. Sci. in Theoretical Physics from Imperial College London in 2010 and his Ph. D. in Atmospheric Physics, always from Imperial College, in January 2014. He has since worked as post-doctoral researcher and research scientist at the Department of Meteorology of Stockholm University, as research scientist at the UK Met Office, and has been visiting scientist at the Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement in Paris.
He joined the Department of Earth Sciences in Uppsala University in 2018.
Research
For an updated publication list, see here: https://gmessori.eu/about/
For a list of projects I am involved in, see here: https://gmessori.eu/research/

Publications
Recent publications
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Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Part of Natural hazards and earth system sciences, p. 4309-4334, 2026
- DOI for Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
- Download full text (pdf) of Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
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Part of Geoscientific Model Development, p. 6663-6685, 2026
- DOI for Ensemble forecasts of isolated and compound wind and precipitation extremes in Europe using HC-SWG (v3.1) and MA-SWG (v1.1) Stochastic Weather Generators
- Download full text (pdf) of Ensemble forecasts of isolated and compound wind and precipitation extremes in Europe using HC-SWG (v3.1) and MA-SWG (v1.1) Stochastic Weather Generators
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Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2026
- DOI for Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
- Download full text (pdf) of Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
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Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1507-1523, 2026
- DOI for Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
- Download full text (pdf) of Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
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Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1405-1423, 2026
- DOI for Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
All publications
Articles in journal
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Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Part of Natural hazards and earth system sciences, p. 4309-4334, 2026
- DOI for Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
- Download full text (pdf) of Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
-
Part of Geoscientific Model Development, p. 6663-6685, 2026
- DOI for Ensemble forecasts of isolated and compound wind and precipitation extremes in Europe using HC-SWG (v3.1) and MA-SWG (v1.1) Stochastic Weather Generators
- Download full text (pdf) of Ensemble forecasts of isolated and compound wind and precipitation extremes in Europe using HC-SWG (v3.1) and MA-SWG (v1.1) Stochastic Weather Generators
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Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2026
- DOI for Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
- Download full text (pdf) of Modulation of North Atlantic Atmospheric Rivers by the Gulf Stream
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Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1507-1523, 2026
- DOI for Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
- Download full text (pdf) of Interhemispheric perspective on the most extreme surface winds in the storm tracks
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Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1405-1423, 2026
- DOI for Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Forecast-based attribution of the role of stratospheric variability in weather extremes
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Assessing the real-world economic value of weather forecasts for compounding extremes
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2026
- DOI for Assessing the real-world economic value of weather forecasts for compounding extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Assessing the real-world economic value of weather forecasts for compounding extremes
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Part of Nature Health, p. 458-460, 2026
- DOI for Challenges in understanding the effect of climate extremes and climatic factors on maternal and infant health
- Download full text (pdf) of Challenges in understanding the effect of climate extremes and climatic factors on maternal and infant health
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The emergency events database, EM-DAT, must be preserved as a global public good
Part of International Journal of Public Health, 2026
- DOI for The emergency events database, EM-DAT, must be preserved as a global public good
- Download full text (pdf) of The emergency events database, EM-DAT, must be preserved as a global public good
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Human-induced westerly jet shifts coordinate terrestrial productivity at the hemispheric scale
Part of Nature Communications, 2026
- DOI for Human-induced westerly jet shifts coordinate terrestrial productivity at the hemispheric scale
- Download full text (pdf) of Human-induced westerly jet shifts coordinate terrestrial productivity at the hemispheric scale
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Part of Natural hazards and earth system sciences, p. 2609-2636, 2026
- DOI for Wikimpacts 1.0: A new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
- Download full text (pdf) of Wikimpacts 1.0: A new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
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An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2026
- DOI for An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics
- Download full text (pdf) of An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics
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Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2026
- DOI for Stratospheric and tropospheric contributions to North American cold temperatures and subsequent North Atlantic jet stream anomalies
- Download full text (pdf) of Stratospheric and tropospheric contributions to North American cold temperatures and subsequent North Atlantic jet stream anomalies
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Predictability assessment of cold-wet-windy pan-Atlantic extremes
Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2026
- DOI for Predictability assessment of cold-wet-windy pan-Atlantic extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Predictability assessment of cold-wet-windy pan-Atlantic extremes
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Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 453-473, 2026
- DOI for Concurrent heat waves and their linkage to large-scale meridional heat transports through planetary-scale waves
- Download full text (pdf) of Concurrent heat waves and their linkage to large-scale meridional heat transports through planetary-scale waves
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Attributing precipitation, wind and socioeconomic exposure in Hurricane Melissa (2025)
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2026
- DOI for Attributing precipitation, wind and socioeconomic exposure in Hurricane Melissa (2025)
- Download full text (pdf) of Attributing precipitation, wind and socioeconomic exposure in Hurricane Melissa (2025)
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Dynamically-Informed Extreme Event Attribution Using Circulation Imprints
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2026
- DOI for Dynamically-Informed Extreme Event Attribution Using Circulation Imprints
- Download full text (pdf) of Dynamically-Informed Extreme Event Attribution Using Circulation Imprints
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Seasonal Pre-planting Drought Impact-based Forecasting of Crop Yield in India
Part of Earth's Future, 2026
- DOI for Seasonal Pre-planting Drought Impact-based Forecasting of Crop Yield in India
- Download full text (pdf) of Seasonal Pre-planting Drought Impact-based Forecasting of Crop Yield in India
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Challenges and Opportunities for Understanding Societal Impacts of Climate Extremes
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 199-208, 2026
- DOI for Challenges and Opportunities for Understanding Societal Impacts of Climate Extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Challenges and Opportunities for Understanding Societal Impacts of Climate Extremes
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2026
- DOI for Compound North American Cold and European Wind Extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future Simulations: Part 1: Surface Extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Compound North American Cold and European Wind Extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future Simulations: Part 1: Surface Extremes
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2026
- DOI for Compound North American Cold and European Wind Extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future Simulations. Part 2: Dynamical Pathways
- Download full text (pdf) of Compound North American Cold and European Wind Extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future Simulations. Part 2: Dynamical Pathways
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Moisture Sources Throughout the Life Cycle of an Atmospheric River: Storm Dennis Case Study
Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2025
- DOI for Moisture Sources Throughout the Life Cycle of an Atmospheric River: Storm Dennis Case Study
- Download full text (pdf) of Moisture Sources Throughout the Life Cycle of an Atmospheric River: Storm Dennis Case Study
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Can data-driven weather models accurately forecast atmospheric rivers?
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2025
- DOI for Can data-driven weather models accurately forecast atmospheric rivers?
- Download full text (pdf) of Can data-driven weather models accurately forecast atmospheric rivers?
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Spatio-temporal dynamical indices for complex systems
Part of Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2025
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Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2025
- DOI for Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts
- Download full text 1 (pdf) of Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts
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Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2025
- DOI for Representing the Teleconnection Between the Jet Stream and Extreme Cold Air Outbreaks Over North America
- Download full text (pdf) of Representing the Teleconnection Between the Jet Stream and Extreme Cold Air Outbreaks Over North America
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Whose weather is it?: A fairness framework for data-driven weather forecasting
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2025
- DOI for Whose weather is it?: A fairness framework for data-driven weather forecasting
- Download full text (pdf) of Whose weather is it?: A fairness framework for data-driven weather forecasting
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Part of Earth System Science Data, p. 6379-6403, 2025
- DOI for SHEDIS-Temperature: linking temperature-related disaster impacts to subnational data on meteorology and human exposure
- Download full text (pdf) of SHEDIS-Temperature: linking temperature-related disaster impacts to subnational data on meteorology and human exposure
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Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers
Part of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025
- DOI for Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers
- Download full text (pdf) of Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers
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Part of Climate Dynamics, 2025
- DOI for Robustness of dynamical coupling between wintertime European weather extremes and the large-scale circulation
- Download full text (pdf) of Robustness of dynamical coupling between wintertime European weather extremes and the large-scale circulation
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Concurrent wintertime cold spells in North America and warm or cold spells in Europe
Part of Climate Dynamics, 2025
- DOI for Concurrent wintertime cold spells in North America and warm or cold spells in Europe
- Download full text (pdf) of Concurrent wintertime cold spells in North America and warm or cold spells in Europe
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CLIMK–WINDS: a new database of extreme European winter windstorms
Part of Earth System Science Data, p. 4431-4453, 2025
- DOI for CLIMK–WINDS: a new database of extreme European winter windstorms
- Download full text (pdf) of CLIMK–WINDS: a new database of extreme European winter windstorms
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Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 169-187, 2025
- DOI for Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic
- Download full text (pdf) of Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic
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Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2025
- DOI for How good is my drought index? Evaluating predictability and ability to estimate impacts across Europe
- Download full text (pdf) of How good is my drought index? Evaluating predictability and ability to estimate impacts across Europe
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2025
- DOI for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the March 2024 Compound Floods and Saharan Dust Outbreak in Europe
- Download full text (pdf) of Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the March 2024 Compound Floods and Saharan Dust Outbreak in Europe
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El Niño and droughts in Southeast Asia: A stochastic-chaotic modeling approach
Part of Physical review. E, 2025
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Part of Earth's Future, 2025
- DOI for Global Mapping of Concurrent Hazards and Impacts Associated With Climate Extremes Under Climate Change
- Download full text (pdf) of Global Mapping of Concurrent Hazards and Impacts Associated With Climate Extremes Under Climate Change
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Disentangling density and geometry in weather regime dimensions using stochastic twins
Part of npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2025
- DOI for Disentangling density and geometry in weather regime dimensions using stochastic twins
- Download full text (pdf) of Disentangling density and geometry in weather regime dimensions using stochastic twins
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Explaining Pan‐Atlantic Cold and Windy Extremes Using an Analog‐Based Approach
Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2025
- DOI for Explaining Pan‐Atlantic Cold and Windy Extremes Using an Analog‐Based Approach
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Dynamics of stratospheric wave reflection over the North Pacific
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 521-548, 2025
- DOI for Dynamics of stratospheric wave reflection over the North Pacific
- Download full text (pdf) of Dynamics of stratospheric wave reflection over the North Pacific
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Plural climate storylines to foster just urban futures
Part of Nature Cities, p. 732-740, 2024
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Sustainable transformations for healthcare systems in a changing climate
Part of Cell Reports Sustainability, 2024
- DOI for Sustainable transformations for healthcare systems in a changing climate
- Download full text (pdf) of Sustainable transformations for healthcare systems in a changing climate
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Physics-Inspired Adaptions to Low-Parameter Neural Network Weather Forecast Systems
Part of Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (AIES), 2024
- DOI for Physics-Inspired Adaptions to Low-Parameter Neural Network Weather Forecast Systems
- Download full text (pdf) of Physics-Inspired Adaptions to Low-Parameter Neural Network Weather Forecast Systems
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Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2024
- DOI for Significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts for the 2018-2019 drought in Germany
- Download full text (pdf) of Significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts for the 2018-2019 drought in Germany
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Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
Part of Nature Geoscience, p. 979-986, 2024
- DOI for Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
- Download full text (pdf) of Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
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Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, p. 5518-5534, 2024
- DOI for Forecasting atmospheric persistence and implications for the predictability of temperature and temperature extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Forecasting atmospheric persistence and implications for the predictability of temperature and temperature extremes
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Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 997-1012, 2024
- DOI for A linear assessment of barotropic Rossby wave propagation in different background flow configurations
- Download full text (pdf) of A linear assessment of barotropic Rossby wave propagation in different background flow configurations
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Large-scale perspective on extreme near-surface winds in the central North Atlantic
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 821-837, 2024
- DOI for Large-scale perspective on extreme near-surface winds in the central North Atlantic
- Download full text (pdf) of Large-scale perspective on extreme near-surface winds in the central North Atlantic
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Windstorm losses in Europe: What to gain from damage datasets
Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2024
- DOI for Windstorm losses in Europe: What to gain from damage datasets
- Download full text (pdf) of Windstorm losses in Europe: What to gain from damage datasets
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The perfect storm?: Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 429-466, 2024
- DOI for The perfect storm?: Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
- Download full text (pdf) of The perfect storm?: Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
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Simulating the Western North America heatwave of 2021 with analogue importance sampling
Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2024
- DOI for Simulating the Western North America heatwave of 2021 with analogue importance sampling
- Download full text (pdf) of Simulating the Western North America heatwave of 2021 with analogue importance sampling
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Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 1207-1225, 2024
- DOI for Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
- Download full text (pdf) of Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
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ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 959-983, 2024
- DOI for ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
- Download full text (pdf) of ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
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The Dynamical Footprint of Year-Round North American Weather Regimes
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2024
- DOI for The Dynamical Footprint of Year-Round North American Weather Regimes
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Part of Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS), 2024
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Mid-Holocene climate at mid-latitudes: assessing the impact of Saharan greening
Part of Climate of the Past, p. 1735-1759, 2024
- DOI for Mid-Holocene climate at mid-latitudes: assessing the impact of Saharan greening
- Download full text (pdf) of Mid-Holocene climate at mid-latitudes: assessing the impact of Saharan greening
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Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
Part of Physical review. E, 2024
- DOI for Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
- Download full text (pdf) of Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
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Part of Geoscientific Model Development, p. 7915-7962, 2024
- DOI for Do data-driven models beat numerical models in forecasting weather extremes?: A comparison of IFS HRES, Pangu-Weather, and GraphCast
- Download full text (pdf) of Do data-driven models beat numerical models in forecasting weather extremes?: A comparison of IFS HRES, Pangu-Weather, and GraphCast
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 2024
- DOI for Synoptic-Scale Extreme Variability of Winter Antarctic Sea-Ice Concentration and Its Link to Southern Ocean Extratropical Cyclones
- Download full text (pdf) of Synoptic-Scale Extreme Variability of Winter Antarctic Sea-Ice Concentration and Its Link to Southern Ocean Extratropical Cyclones
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Part of Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2024
- DOI for A Quantile Generalized Additive Approach for Compound Climate Extremes: Pan-Atlantic Extremes as a Case Study
- Download full text (pdf) of A Quantile Generalized Additive Approach for Compound Climate Extremes: Pan-Atlantic Extremes as a Case Study
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Part of Climate Dynamics, p. 4393-4409, 2023
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The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 737-765, 2023
- DOI for The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence
- Download full text (pdf) of The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence
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The global atmospheric energy transport analysed by a wavelength-based scale separation
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1-17, 2023
- DOI for The global atmospheric energy transport analysed by a wavelength-based scale separation
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Speculative Political Ecologies: (re)imagining urban futures of climate extremes
Part of Journal of Political Ecology, 2023
- DOI for Speculative Political Ecologies: (re)imagining urban futures of climate extremes
- Download full text (pdf) of Speculative Political Ecologies: (re)imagining urban futures of climate extremes
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Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for On the Systematic Occurrence of Compound Cold Spells in North America and Wet or Windy Extremes in Europe
- Download full text (pdf) of On the Systematic Occurrence of Compound Cold Spells in North America and Wet or Windy Extremes in Europe
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Dynamical footprints of hurricanes in the tropical dynamics
Part of Chaos, 2023
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Typicality of the 2021 Western North America summer heatwave
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for Typicality of the 2021 Western North America summer heatwave
- Download full text (pdf) of Typicality of the 2021 Western North America summer heatwave
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On Pan-Atlantic cold, wet and windy compound extremes
Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2023
- DOI for On Pan-Atlantic cold, wet and windy compound extremes
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Part of Weather and Climate Extremes, 2023
- DOI for Modulation of North Atlantic extratropical cyclones and extreme weather in Europe during North American cold spells
- Download full text (pdf) of Modulation of North Atlantic extratropical cyclones and extreme weather in Europe during North American cold spells
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Predicting the Future: How Does a Weather Forecast Work?
Part of Frontiers for Young Minds, 2023
- DOI for Predicting the Future: How Does a Weather Forecast Work?
- Download full text (pdf) of Predicting the Future: How Does a Weather Forecast Work?
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Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 241-242, 2023
- DOI for Editorial: Global warming is due to an enhanced greenhouse effect, and anthropogenic heat emissions currently play a negligible role at the global scale
- Download full text (pdf) of Editorial: Global warming is due to an enhanced greenhouse effect, and anthropogenic heat emissions currently play a negligible role at the global scale
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Multiple Large‐Scale Dynamical Pathways for Pan–Atlantic Compound Cold and Windy Extremes
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for Multiple Large‐Scale Dynamical Pathways for Pan–Atlantic Compound Cold and Windy Extremes
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Extreme Surface Energy Budget Anomalies in the High Arctic in Winter
Part of Journal of Climate, p. 3591-3609, 2023
- DOI for Extreme Surface Energy Budget Anomalies in the High Arctic in Winter
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Recent Increase in a Recurrent Pan-Atlantic Wave Pattern Driving Concurrent Wintertime Extremes
Part of Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS), 2023
- DOI for Recent Increase in a Recurrent Pan-Atlantic Wave Pattern Driving Concurrent Wintertime Extremes
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A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes
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Part of Climate Dynamics, p. 229-253, 2023
- DOI for A methodology for attributing severe extratropical cyclones to climate change based on reanalysis data: the case study of storm Alex 2020
- Download full text (pdf) of A methodology for attributing severe extratropical cyclones to climate change based on reanalysis data: the case study of storm Alex 2020
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Persistent anomalies of the North Atlantic jet stream and associated surface extremes over Europe
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for Persistent anomalies of the North Atlantic jet stream and associated surface extremes over Europe
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Atmospheric circulation compounds anthropogenic warming and impacts of climate extremes in Europe
Part of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023
- DOI for Atmospheric circulation compounds anthropogenic warming and impacts of climate extremes in Europe
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Part of Journal of Climate, p. 7657-7674, 2023
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Statistical performance of local attractor dimension estimators in non-Axiom A dynamical systems
Part of Chaos, 2023
- DOI for Statistical performance of local attractor dimension estimators in non-Axiom A dynamical systems
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Part of Earth and Space Science, 2023
- DOI for High-Resolution Thermal Imaging in the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone: Skin Temperature Heterogeneity and Effects on Heat Fluxes
- Download full text (pdf) of High-Resolution Thermal Imaging in the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone: Skin Temperature Heterogeneity and Effects on Heat Fluxes
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Unprecedented droughts are expected to exacerbate urban inequalities in Southern Africa
Part of Nature Climate Change, p. 98-105, 2023
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A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021
Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1311-1340, 2022
- DOI for A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021
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Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2022
- DOI for Drought legacy in sub‐seasonal vegetation state and sensitivity to climate over the Northern Hemisphere
- Download full text (pdf) of Drought legacy in sub‐seasonal vegetation state and sensitivity to climate over the Northern Hemisphere
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Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2022
- DOI for An NAO-dominated mode of atmospheric circulation drives large decadal changes in wintertime surface climate and snow mass over Eurasia
- Download full text (pdf) of An NAO-dominated mode of atmospheric circulation drives large decadal changes in wintertime surface climate and snow mass over Eurasia
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Part of Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2022
- DOI for Developing Representative Impact Scenarios From Climate Projection Ensembles, With Application to UKCP18 and EURO‐CORDEX Precipitation
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Communicating Properties of Changes in Lagged Weather Forecasts
Part of Weather and forecasting, p. 125-142, 2022
- DOI for Communicating Properties of Changes in Lagged Weather Forecasts
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Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1215-1236, 2022
- DOI for Stratospheric downward wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells
- Download full text (pdf) of Stratospheric downward wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells
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Part of Weather and Climate Dynamics, p. 1037-1062, 2022
- DOI for Meridional-energy-transport extremes and the general circulation of Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes: dominant weather regimes and preferred zonal wavenumbers
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The life cycle of meridional heat flux peaks
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, p. 1113-1126, 2022
- DOI for The life cycle of meridional heat flux peaks
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Dynamics and predictability of cold spells over the Eastern Mediterranean
Part of Climate Dynamics, p. 2047-2064, 2022
- DOI for Dynamics and predictability of cold spells over the Eastern Mediterranean
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Atmospheric jet stream variability reflects vegetation activity in Europe
Part of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2022
- DOI for Atmospheric jet stream variability reflects vegetation activity in Europe
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2022
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Disaster risk reduction and the limits of truisms: Improving the knowledge and practice interface
Part of International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2022
- DOI for Disaster risk reduction and the limits of truisms: Improving the knowledge and practice interface
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Ensemble Methods for Neural Network-Based Weather Forecasts
Part of Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2021
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A dynamical systems characterization of atmospheric jet regimes
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 233-251, 2021
- DOI for A dynamical systems characterization of atmospheric jet regimes
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Do Atlantic‐European weather regimes physically exist?
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, 2021
- DOI for Do Atlantic‐European weather regimes physically exist?
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Part of Global and Planetary Change, 2021
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Part of Earth's Future, 2021
- DOI for Is A Common Goal A False Hope in Convergence Research?: Opportunities and Challenges of International Convergence Research to Address Arctic Change
- Download full text (pdf) of Is A Common Goal A False Hope in Convergence Research?: Opportunities and Challenges of International Convergence Research to Address Arctic Change
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Part of Monthly Weather Review, p. 1637-1650, 2021
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Part of Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS), 2021
- DOI for Compound Climate Events and Extremes in the Midlatitudes Dynamics, Simulation, and Statistical Characterization
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Scenarios of Human Responses to Unprecedented Social-Environmental Extreme Events
Part of Earth's Future, 2021
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Part of Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 2021
- DOI for Evaluating the scientific credentials of the supporters of public petitions denying anthropogenic climate change
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Part of Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, 2021
- DOI for Early Growing Season Anomalies in Vegetation Activity Determine the Large-Scale Climate-Vegetation Coupling in Europe
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Technical note: Characterising and comparing different palaeoclimates with dynamical systems theory
Part of Climate of the Past, p. 545-563, 2021
- DOI for Technical note: Characterising and comparing different palaeoclimates with dynamical systems theory
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Part of Climate of the Past, p. 1243-1271, 2021
- DOI for The remote response of the South Asian Monsoon to reduced dust emissions and Sahara greening during the middle Holocene
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Robust Worst-Case Scenarios from Ensemble Forecasts
Part of Weather and forecasting, p. 1357-1373, 2021
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A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 133-149, 2021
- DOI for A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean
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A spatial model for return values of warm extremes in the high Arctic
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, p. 3865-3876, 2020
- DOI for A spatial model for return values of warm extremes in the high Arctic
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Part of Climate Dynamics, p. 2187-2201, 2020
- DOI for Diagnosing concurrent drivers of weather extremes: application to warm and cold days in North America
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The dynamics of cyclones in the twentyfirst century: the Eastern Mediterranean as an example
Part of Climate Dynamics, p. 561-574, 2020
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Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 251-266, 2020
- DOI for Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale
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Compound warm-dry and cold-wet events over the Mediterranean
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 793-805, 2020
- DOI for Compound warm-dry and cold-wet events over the Mediterranean
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Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, p. 1636-1650, 2020
- DOI for Dynamical systems theory sheds new light on compound climate extremes in Europe and Eastern North America
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Part of Journal of Climate, p. 5565-5587, 2020
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Sampling Hyperspheres via Extreme Value Theory: Implications for Measuring Attractor Dimensions
Part of Journal of statistical physics, p. 1698-1717, 2020
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Part of International Journal of Climatology, p. 1927-1939, 2019
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Minimal dynamical systems model of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream via embedding of climate data
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 555-567, 2019
- DOI for Minimal dynamical systems model of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream via embedding of climate data
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The hammam effect or how a warm ocean enhances large scale atmospheric predictability
Part of Nature Communications, 2019
- DOI for The hammam effect or how a warm ocean enhances large scale atmospheric predictability
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Part of Geophysical Research Letters, p. 7602-7613, 2019
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Generalization properties of feed-forward neural networks trained on Lorenz systems
Part of Nonlinear processes in geophysics, p. 381-399, 2019
- DOI for Generalization properties of feed-forward neural networks trained on Lorenz systems
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How Global Warming Changes the Difficulty of Synoptic Weather Forecasting
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, p. 2931-2939, 2019
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Part of Science Advances, 2019
- DOI for A new dynamical systems perspective on atmospheric predictability: Eastern Mediterranean weather regimes as a case study
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Part of Geoscientific Model Development, p. 2797-2809, 2019
- DOI for Weather and climate forecasting with neural networks: using general circulation models (GCMs) with different complexity as a study ground
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Selective ensemble mean technique for severe European windstorms
Part of Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, p. 376-385, 2019
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Effects of an Explosive Polar Cyclone Crossing the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone
Part of Geophysical Research Letters, p. 5948-5958, 2019
- DOI for Effects of an Explosive Polar Cyclone Crossing the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone
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Articles, review/survey
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Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 415-450, 2026
- DOI for Large-scale atmospheric circulation and its impact on the Baltic Sea region: controls, predictability and consequences
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Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 1611-1653, 2025
- DOI for Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations
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Advances and gaps in the science and practice of impact‐based forecasting of droughts
Part of WIREs Water, 2024
- DOI for Advances and gaps in the science and practice of impact‐based forecasting of droughts
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Advances and prospects of deep learning for medium-range extreme weather forecasting
Part of Geoscientific Model Development, p. 2347-2358, 2024
- DOI for Advances and prospects of deep learning for medium-range extreme weather forecasting
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Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi-Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview
Part of Earth's Future, 2024
- DOI for Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi-Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview
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Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean
Part of Earth System Dynamics, p. 749-777, 2022
- DOI for Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean
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The Greening of the Sahara: Past Changes and Future Implications
Part of One Earth, p. 235-250, 2020
- DOI for The Greening of the Sahara: Past Changes and Future Implications
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Climate drivers of the terrestrial carbon cycle variability in Europe
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2019
- DOI for Climate drivers of the terrestrial carbon cycle variability in Europe
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Conference papers
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Impact of Weather Extremes on the Swedish Power System
Part of 2025 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference Europe (ISGT Europe), 2025
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ClimateEval: A Comprehensive Benchmark for NLP Tasks Related to Climate Change
Part of Proceedings of the 2nd Workshop on Natural Language Processing Meets Climate Change (ClimateNLP 2025), p. 194-207, 2025
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ClimateEval: A Comprehensive Benchmark for NLP Tasks Related to Climate Change
Part of Proceedings of the 2nd Workshop on Natural Language Processing Meets Climate Change (ClimateNLP 2025), p. 194-207, 2025
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Using LLMs to Build a Database of Climate Extreme Impacts
Part of Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Natural Language Processing Meets Climate Change (ClimateNLP 2024), p. 93-110, 2024
- DOI for Using LLMs to Build a Database of Climate Extreme Impacts
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