Working group 1: Negotiating Nuclear Disarmament
Working Group 1 focuses on the processes of multilateral negotiations aimed at disarmament, non-proliferation, and management of nuclear weapons. We seek to stimulate research, bringing together some of the leading international scholars in the study of negotiation research and scholars focusing specifically on the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and other forms of nuclear negotiations.
The key task that we have set before us is to use scientific evidence to bear on the following research question: How can processes of nuclear negotiations become more effective in containing, controlling, and reducing nuclear weapon programmes?
The priority will be to identify the key procedural conditions that can increase negotiation effectiveness and to identify the key obstacles that prevent nuclear negotiations from making progress.
Research Tasks and Priorities
- The members of our international Working Group do research on various aspects relating to, and relevant for, nuclear diplomacy.
- The book Nuclear Negotiations: Conditions for Effective Nuclear Diplomacy (eds Svensson and Möller), to be published at Springer (in the series Perspectives on Global Affairs), provides an up-to-date overview of the most important areas of research when it comes to contemporary nuclear diplomacy.
- NucNeg is the name of a database under construction, mapping over 1,600 negotiation episodes in multilateral, bilateral, and country-specific negotiations on nuclear weapons programmes.
- Nuclear Negotiations 2024: The Year in Review. Our first annual review of the most important events when it comes to nuclear negotiations is under production.

Working Group Leader: Dr Isak Svensson
Dr Isak Svensson is the Dag Hammarskjöld Professor in Peace and Conflict Research at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Sweden, where he teaches and does research on various aspects of conflict resolution.
His research focuses on international mediation and negotiations, religious dimensions of armed conflict, and dynamics of nonviolent civil resistance.
Working Group Members
- Deputy working group leader: Ulrika Möller, University of Gothenburg
- Arvid Bell, Harvard University
- Alexander Bollfrass, International Institute for Strategic Studies
- Giacomo Cassano, Uppsala University
- Govinda Clayton, Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
- Rebecca Davis Gibbons, University of Southern Maine
- Megan Dee, University of Stirling
- Stephen Herzog, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies
- Magnus Lundgren, University of Gothenburg
- Gunilla Reischl, Swedish Institute of International Affairs
- Tom Sauer, University of Antwerpen
- Siniša Vuković, Johns Hopkins University
Publications
2024
- Tom Sauer, “The Potentially Revolutionary Impact of Emerging and Disruptive Technologies and Strategic Conventional Weapons on the Nuclear Deterrence Debate”, EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Consortium: non-proliferation and disarmament papers, No. 91
December 2024 - Marat Atnashev, Arvid Bell: ”Will a Ceasefire Remain Elusive? Assessing Negotiation Readiness in Russia-Ukraine War”, Russia Matters, Havard Kennedy School, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, September 25, 2024
- Megan Dee, “Minilateralism and effective multilateralism in the global nuclear order”, Contemporary Security Policy, July 2024
- Tom Sauer “How useful are nuclear weapons in practice? Case-study: the war in Ukraine”, Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, May 2024
- Tom Sauer, “The Failed Negotiations to Restore the Iran Nuclear Deal’, Global Policy, May 2024.
2023
- Rebecca Davis Gibbons & Stephen Herzog, “Nuclear Disarmament and Russia’s War on Ukraine: The Ascendance and Uncertain Future of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons”, in Rebecca Davis Gibbons, Stephen Herzog, Wilfred Wan, and Doreen Horschig, The Altered Nuclear Order in the Wake of the Russia-Ukraine War, Cambridge, Mass.: American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2023, 1-36.
Outreach
- Isak Svensson gave a guest lecture at Utrikespolitiska Föreningen Stockholm on the Ukraine-Russia War on 20 March 2025.
- In September 2023, the working group organised a research panel on nuclear diplomacy at the Pan-European International Studies Association Convention in Potsdam, Germany. Among the topics discussed were the failure to negotiate a nuclear agreement in Iran, insights from climate negotiations, and the challenges and opportunities of collecting data on nuclear arms negotiations.
Media
Isak Svensson
- Experten om vapenvilan mellan Ukraina och Ryssland: Förhandlingarna bakåtvända | SVT Nyheter 2025/03/24
- Trump vill ha fred före påsk: Kan bli problem -SvD, 2025/03/23
- Efter telefonsamtalen och förhandlingarna – hur nära är en fred i Ukraina? | Nyhetspodden | Yle Arenan 2025/03/21
- Carl Bildt om telefonmötet mellan Trump och Putin: Trump minskar trycket på Putin - P1 Morgon | Sveriges Radio, 2025/03/19
- Forskaren: ”Tydlig parallell till andra världskriget”, TV4, 2025/03/09
- Experten om Trumps förhandlingstekniker: ”Dålig maffiaboss”, TV4, 2025/03/08
- Forskare om Sveriges Natointräde: ”Stor ironi” – Nya dagbladet, 2025/03/07
- Kriget i Ukraina: Vilken typ av fred vill man ha? - Studio Ett | Sveriges Radio 2025/03/06
- Går det att få till en varaktig fred med Putin? 4 mars 2025 - Förmiddag med | Sveriges Radio, 2025/3/4
- Hur ser vägen mot fred ut efter Trumps möte med Zelenskyj? - Godmorgon världen | Sveriges Radio, 2025/3/3
- 1 000 dagar av storkrig i Europa, SVT, 2024/12/19
- ”Ett evigt fredsbyggande” – Ukraina behöver avskräckningsmekanismer för att få slut på Rysslands krig, Svenska Yle, 2024/12/1
- Kärnvapenfrågan är fortfarande aktuell och angelägen, Mänsklig Säkerhet, 2024/10715
- Mellanöstern i fokus inför Nobels fredspris, Utrikesmagasinet, 2024/10/11
- P1 morgon, 2024/10/03
Contact
- For questions about the working group's research and activities:
- Isak Svensson