Espen Geelmuyden Rød
Affiliated Visiting researcher at Department of Peace and Conflict Research
- E-mail:
- espen.g.roed@pcr.uu.se
- Visiting address:
- Gamla Torget 3, 1tr
753 20 Uppsala - Postal address:
- Box 514
751 20 UPPSALA
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Short presentation
Espen Geelmuyden Rød's research interests include democratization, political violence, and digital technology.
Ongoing projects:
Protest, Democratization, and Escalation to Large-scale Political Violence (PI)
Petroleum, prices and protests: The impact of climate change mitigation on social unrest
Mobilizing for and against Democracy
Keywords
- quantitative methods
- democratization
- political violence
Research
Visit my Google Scholar page

Publications
Selection of publications
The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
Part of Public Choice, p. 87-111, 2020
- DOI for The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
- Download full text 1 (pdf) of The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
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The Internet and Political Protest in Autocracies
Oxford University Press, 2019
Fraud, Grievances, and Post-election Protests in Competitive Authoritarian Regimes
Part of Electoral Studies, p. 12-20, 2019
Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 338-351, 2015
- DOI for Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
- Download full text (pdf) of Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
Recent publications
Predicting armed conflict using protest data
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 3-20, 2025
- DOI for Predicting armed conflict using protest data
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A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
Part of International Journal of Forecasting, p. 96-112, 2024
- DOI for A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
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Fueling protest?: Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset
Part of World Development, 2024
- DOI for Fueling protest?: Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset
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Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset
Part of Research & Politics, p. 205316802311633, 2023
- DOI for Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset
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From bad to worse?: How protest can foster armed conflict in autocracies
Part of Political Geography, 2023
- DOI for From bad to worse?: How protest can foster armed conflict in autocracies
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All publications
Articles in journal
Predicting armed conflict using protest data
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 3-20, 2025
- DOI for Predicting armed conflict using protest data
- Download full text (pdf) of Predicting armed conflict using protest data
A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
Part of International Journal of Forecasting, p. 96-112, 2024
- DOI for A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
- Download full text (pdf) of A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
Fueling protest?: Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset
Part of World Development, 2024
- DOI for Fueling protest?: Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset
- Download full text (pdf) of Fueling protest?: Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset
Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset
Part of Research & Politics, p. 205316802311633, 2023
- DOI for Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset
- Download full text (pdf) of Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset
From bad to worse?: How protest can foster armed conflict in autocracies
Part of Political Geography, 2023
- DOI for From bad to worse?: How protest can foster armed conflict in autocracies
- Download full text (pdf) of From bad to worse?: How protest can foster armed conflict in autocracies
ViEWS(2020): Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 599-611, 2021
- DOI for ViEWS(2020): Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
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The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
Part of Public Choice, p. 87-111, 2020
- DOI for The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
- Download full text 1 (pdf) of The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
- Download full text 2 (pdf) of The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis
ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 155-174, 2019
- DOI for ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
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Fraud, Grievances, and Post-election Protests in Competitive Authoritarian Regimes
Part of Electoral Studies, p. 12-20, 2019
In the Spotlight: Analyzing Sequential Attention Effects in Protest Reporting
Part of Political Communication, p. 587-611, 2018
Cues To Coup Plotters: Elections as Coup Triggers in Dictatorships
Part of Journal of Conflict Resolution, p. 787-812, 2016
- DOI for Cues To Coup Plotters: Elections as Coup Triggers in Dictatorships
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Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 338-351, 2015
- DOI for Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
- Download full text (pdf) of Empowering Activists or Autocrats?: The Internet in Authoritarian Regimes
Making Uncertainty Explicit: Separating Reports and Events in the Coding of Violence and Contention
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 125-128, 2015
- DOI for Making Uncertainty Explicit: Separating Reports and Events in the Coding of Violence and Contention
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Books
The Internet and Political Protest in Autocracies
Oxford University Press, 2019