Peter Juslin
Professor ssk kognitionspsykologi 03 vid Institutionen för psykologi; Avdelningen för Perceptions- och kognitionspsykologi
- Telefon:
- 018-471 25 03
- E-post:
- Peter.Juslin@psyk.uu.se
- Besöksadress:
- Von Kraemers allé 1A och 1C
752 37 Uppsala - Postadress:
- Box 1225
751 42 UPPSALA
- Akademiska meriter:
- FD, docent
Biografi
Utbildning, tidigare anställningar och andra uppdrag (i urval)
2014: Ledamot i docenturnämnden, Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten, Uppsala universitet.
2014: Medlem av Svenska nationalkommittén för psykologi, Kungliga vetenskapsakademien.
2013: Invald medlem av Kungliga vetenskapsakademien, Sektion IX (Samhällsvetenskap).
2008: Torgny Segerstedtmedaljen vid Uppsala Universitet för framstående forskning i samhällvetenskap.
2003: Professor i psykologi, ssk. kognitionspsykologi, Institutionen för psykologi, Uppsala universitet.
1999: Professor i psykologi, Institutionen för psykologi, Umeå universitet.
1998: Oscarspriset vid Uppsala University (konsistoriet 8-9 juni, 1998).
1996: Docent i psykologi, Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten, Uppsala universitet.
1995: Forskarassistent, Institutionen för psykologi, Uppsala universitet.
1994: Post Doc, Department of Psychology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Il. (post doc finansierad av HSFR, värd Professor Gerd Gigerenzer).
1994: The New Scientist Award from the Brunswik Society.
1993: Doktorsexamen (160 p), Institutionen för psykologi, Uppsala universitet.
1989: Fil. kand (120 p), Uppsala Universitet, 60 poäng psykologi, 60 poäng filosofi.
Forskning, undervisning och tredje uppgiften
Forskning
Min doktorsavhandling behandlade orsakerna till överskattningsfenomenet (eng. ”overconfidence”), enligt vilket människor är benägna att överskatta giltigheten hos sina egna bedömningar och kunskaper. I senare studier undersöktes hur realistiska människor är i sin tilltro till enkla sensoriska bedömningar, och liknande frågeställningar relaterades även till efterklokhet (eng. ”hindsight bias”) och tilltro till vittnesidentifikationer. Under senare år har min forskning utvecklats i tre riktningar. I anslutning till s.k. multiple-cuebedömningar har jag relaterat grundforskning inom minne och kategorisering till bedömningsforskning och studerat samspelet mellan mer analytisk och mer intuitiv kunskap. Ett andra forskningsprogram relaterar till metaforen om en ”naiv intuitiv statistiker”. Traditionell bedömningsforskning betonar att de systematiska bedömningsfel som människor gör orsakas av förenklande kognitiva tumregler (”heuristics”). Forskningsprogrammet, den ”naiva intuitiva statistikern”, visar att människor överlag korrekt beskriver de ”stickprov” de möter i erfarenheten (d v s, snarare än använder tumregler), men att de ofta på ett naivt sätt förutsätter att dessa stickprov kan generaliseras till de nya bedömningsuppgifterna, ett synsätt som ger nya sätt att motverka systematiska bedömningsfel. En tredje forskningsinriktning har visat att många bedömningsfel beror på att människor, p.g.a. sina kapacitetsbegränsade och sekventiella tankeprocesser, är benägna att integrera sannolikheter linjärt och additivt, i motsats till vad som ofta påbjuds i sannolikhetsteori. Det mesta av min forskning bedrivs i samarbete med en forskargrupp vid institutionen som studerar bedömningar och beslutsfattande, bestående både av doktorander och mer seniora forskare. Jag samarbetar vidare bl a med Linnea Karlsson, Institutionen för integrativ medicinsk biologi (IMB), Umeå universitet, i ett projekt som behandlar hjärnavbildning av bedömningsprocesser, med Cajsa Bartusch, Institutionen för teknikvetenskaper, Industriell teknik, Uppsala universitet i ett projekt som behandlar feedback och motiverande krafter hos elkonsumenter, samt med Minna Gräns, Juridiska institutionen, Uppsala universitet i ett projekt som behandlar konfirmerande informationssökande i den juridiska processen.
Undervisning
Jag undervisar främst inom området kognitionspsykologi. Det handlar dels om kurser på avancerad nivå och forskarutbildningen, men även om handledning av C-uppsatser, mastersuppsatser. och psykologprogramuppsatser, samt om handledning av doktorander.
Tredje uppgiften
Mina arbeten på det populärvetenskapliga området är mindre omfattande, men jag har bl. a skrivit debattartiklar och populärvetenskapliga kapitel för redigerade volymer, samt deltagit i debattpaneler (t ex i Almedalen, Visby, Gotland, sommaren 2014). Jag har vidare under åren vidare vid upprepade tillfällen föreläst på olika myndigheter, som t ex Försäkringskassan och Rikspolisstyrelsen.
Publikationer (under tryckning)
Endast publikationer under tryckning redovisas här. För utgivna publikationer, se rubriken PUBLIKATIONER nedan.
Listan är på engelska.
Contributions that are not peer-reviewed are indicated by an asterix.
- Juslin, P. (in press). The availability heuristic. In H. Pashler (Ed.) The Encyclopedia of the Mind. Thousand Oaks: Sage Reference.*
- Juslin, P. (in press). The representativeness heuristic. In H. Pashler (Ed.) The Encyclopedia of the Mind. Thousand Oaks: Sage Reference.*
- Juslin, P. (in press). Controlled information integration and Bayesian inference. Frontiers in Psychology.
- Juslin, P., Lindskog, M., & Mayerhofer, B. (in press). Is there something special with probabilities? – Insight vs. computational ability in multiple risk combination. Cognition.
- Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Hansson, P. (in press). The naive intuitive statistician: A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals. In N. Chater (Ed.), Judgement and Decision Making. SAGE Publications, London. (Reprinted from Psychological Review, 114, 678-703.)
- Lindskog, M., Kerimi, N., Winman, A., & Juslin, P. (in press). A Swedish validation of the Berlin Numeracy test. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology.

Publikationer
Urval av publikationer
Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, 2015
- DOI för Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
Prospect evaluation as a function of numeracy and probability denominator
Ingår i Cognition, s. 1-9, 2015
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 851, 2014
The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 462, 2014
- DOI för The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
Prospect Evaluation as a Function of Denominator Neglect
2014
2014
Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
Ingår i Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, s. 270, 2013
- DOI för Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 510, 2013
- DOI för Measuring acuity of the approximate number system reliably and validly: the evaluation of an adaptive test procedure
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Measuring acuity of the approximate number system reliably and validly: the evaluation of an adaptive test procedure
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 782-800, 2013
Calculate or wait: Is man an eager or a lazy intuitive statistician?
Ingår i Journal of Cognitive Psychology, s. 994-1014, 2013
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2013
Effects of Response and Presentation Format on Measures of Approximate Number System Acuity
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 2908-2913, 2013
Is it Time Bayes went Fishing?: Bayesian Probabilistic Reasoning in a Category Learning Task
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 906-911, 2013
Ingår i Grunderna i vår tids Psykologi, s. 125-162, Natur och kultur, 2012
Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats
Ingår i Cognition, s. 248-267, 2011
What is Coded into Memory in the Absence of Outcome Feedback?
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1-16, 2010
Replik på ”mjuka fakta och osannolik noggrannhet”
Ingår i Qvintense, s. 18-19, 2010
Probability theory: Not the very guide of life
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 856-874, 2009
2009
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making, s. 244-260, 2008
The role of short term memory and task experience for overconfidence in judgment under uncertainty
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1027-1042, 2008
Ingår i Psychology and Aging, s. 531-544, 2008
Information integration in multiple-cue judgment: A division-of-labor hypothesis
Ingår i Cognition, s. 258-298, 2008
Exemplars in the mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic.
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 201-212, 2008
Comments: The role of random error in confidence judgment: Reply to Merkle, Sieck, and Van Zandt.
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 449-452, 2008
Constructivist coding: Learning from selective feedback
Ingår i Psychological Science, s. 105-110, 2007
The naive intuitive statistician: A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 678-703, 2007
Causal models and cognitive representations in multiple cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, 2007
The naïve intuitive statistican: Ecological psychology from yet another angle
Ingår i The probabilistic mind: Prospects for rational models of cognition, Oxford University Press, 2007
Ingår i Perception, s. 1421-32, 2006
Multiple-cue judgment in individual and dyadic learning
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, s. 40-56, 2006
Go With the Flow: How to Master a Nonlinear Multiple-Cue Judgment Task
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1371-1384, 2006
Information sampling and overconfidence in interval estimation
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge university Press, New York, 2006
Doktorsexamina vid de psykologiska institutionerna i Sverige 1990–1995, 1995–2000, och 2000–2005
2006
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition, s. 163-79, 2006
Individuals and dyads in a multiple-cue judgment task: Cognitive processes and performance
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, s. 40-56, 2006
Information sampling and adaptive cognition
Cambride university Press, New York, 2006
Less is more in contingency assessmentOr is it?
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2006
Taking the interface between mind and environment seriously
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge university Press, New York, 2006
Ingår i Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition, New York, Cambridge University Press, 2006
Subjective Confidence and the Sampling of Knowledge
Ingår i Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition, Cambridge Unviversity Press, New York, 2006
Capacity limitations and the detection of correlations: Comment on Kareev (2000)
Ingår i Psychol Rev, s. 256-67; discussion 280, 2005
Ingår i Psychol Rev, s. 267, 2005
Evidence for rule-based processes in the inverse base-rate effect.
Ingår i Q J Exp Psychol A, s. 789-815, 2005
The cognitive substrate of subjective probability.
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, s. 600-20, 2005
Ingår i Vår tids psykologi, s. 133-168, Natur & Kultur, Stockholm, 2005
Bedömningar och beslutsfattande: Jakten på Homo Economicus
Ingår i Vår tida psykologi, s. 533-548, Natur & Kultur, Stockholm, 2005
Intervention in multiple-cue judgment: Not always for the better
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2005
Note on the rationality of rule-based versus exemplar-based processing in human judgment
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 37-47, 2004
Representational shifts in a multiple-cue judgment task with continuous cues
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2004
Can attentional theory explain the inverse base-rate effect?: Comments on Kruschke (2001)
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1390-1395, 2003
Cue abstraction and exemplar memory in categorization
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 924-941, 2003
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 34-51, 2003
Ingår i Acta Psychologica, s. 119-121, 2003
The additive judge: On the abstraction of explicit knowledge of cue-criterion relations
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 634-639, 2003
Judgment processes: Ecology-fostered representations, input samples and human limitations
Ingår i The Brunswik Society Newsletter, 2003
Multiple-cue judgment in individual and dyadic learning
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 880-885, 2003
From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society , s. 868-873, 2003
Exemplar effects in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, s. 133-156, 2003
Ingår i Cognitive science, s. 563-607, 2002
Ingår i The European Association for Decision Making (EADM) Newsletter 2002, 2002
Ingår i The Brunswick Society, 2002
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 197-199, 2002
Experience and pseudo-experience: Exemplar effects without feedback
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-fourth annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 714-719, 2002
Calibration of confidence among eyewitness and earwitness
Ingår i Metacognition: Process, function, and use, Kluwer, Amsterdam, 2002
Cue abstraction and exemplars in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Third Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2002
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 849-871, 2001
Ingår i American Psychologist, s. 648-653, 2001
Mirroring the inverse base-rate effect: The novel symptom phenomenon
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 252-257, 2001
Representative design: Causal inference and generalization in cognitive science
Ingår i The essential Brunswik: Beginnings, explications, applications, s. 404-408, Oxford University Press, New York, 2001
Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity–graded probability
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 471-476, 2001
Visual perception of dynamic properties: Cue heuristics versus direct-perceptual competence
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 525-555, 2000
The sensory sampling model: Theoretical developments and empirical findings
Ingår i Food Quality and Preference, s. 27-34, 2000
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 384-396, 2000
Rational Assessments of Covariation and Causality
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2000
Fast and frugal use of cue direction in states of limited knowledge
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 841-846, 2000
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making: An Interdisciplinary Reader (2nd Ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2000
Algorithm, heuristic or exemplar: Processes and representation in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 244-249, 2000
Ingår i Journal of Applied Psychology, s. 42-49, 1999
Format dependence in subjective probability calibration
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1038-1052, 1999
Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches
Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
”I was well calibrated all along”: Assessing accuracy in retrospect
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
Computational models of subjective probability calibration
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, s. 67-96, Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
Confidence in sensory discrimination: How to increase sensory miscalibration with outcome feedback
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 496-501, 1999
Introduction and historical remarks
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, s. 1-6, Erlbaum, Mahwah, 1999
The calibration issue: Theoretical comments on Suantak, Bolger, and Ferrell (1996)
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 3-26, 1998
Realism of confidence in eyewitness vs. earwitness identification
Ingår i Journal of experimental psychology. Applied, s. 101-118, 1998
Auditory inspection time: On the importance of selecting the appropriate sensory continuum
Ingår i Personality and Individual Differences, s. 627-634, 1998
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 415-431, 1998
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 189-209, 1997
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 344-366, 1997
Evidence for the directness of advanced information pickup
Ingår i Studies in Perception and Action IV: Ninth International Conference on Perception and Action, s. 47-51, 1997
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1304-1316, 1996
Ingår i Rättspsykologi, s. 136-157, 1996
Can overconfidence be used as an indicator of reconstructive rather than retrieval processes?
Ingår i Cognition, s. 99-130, 1995
Ingår i Contributions to Decision Making , Elsevier, 1995
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 226-246, 1994
Ingår i Perception and Psychophysics, s. 255-259, 1994
Ingår i European journal of cognitive psychology, s. 55-71, 1993
Calibration of sensory and cognitive judgments: Two different accounts
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 135-148, 1993
Realism of confidence in sensory discrimination: The underconfidence phenomenon.
Ingår i Perception & Psychophysics, s. 75-81, 1993
Senaste publikationer
Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
Ingår i Perspectives on Psychological Science, 2025
- DOI för Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
Preferences for everyday objects are transitive
Ingår i Proceedings of the 19th SweCog Conference: Stockholm, October 10-11, 2024, s. 32-36, 2024
Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
Ingår i Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, 2024
- DOI för Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
Ingår i Energy Research & Social Science, 2023
- DOI för Getting the signal: Do electricity users meet the preconditions for making informed decisions on demand response?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Getting the signal: Do electricity users meet the preconditions for making informed decisions on demand response?
Ingår i Cognition, 2023
- DOI för Is numerical information always beneficial?: Verbal and numerical cue-integration in additive and non-additive tasks
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Is numerical information always beneficial?: Verbal and numerical cue-integration in additive and non-additive tasks
Alla publikationer
Artiklar i tidskrift
Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
Ingår i Perspectives on Psychological Science, 2025
- DOI för Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Enriching Psychological Research by Exploring the Source and Nature of Noise
Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
Ingår i Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, 2024
- DOI för Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Opening the black box of demand response: Exploring the cognitive processes
Ingår i Energy Research & Social Science, 2023
- DOI för Getting the signal: Do electricity users meet the preconditions for making informed decisions on demand response?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Getting the signal: Do electricity users meet the preconditions for making informed decisions on demand response?
Ingår i Cognition, 2023
- DOI för Is numerical information always beneficial?: Verbal and numerical cue-integration in additive and non-additive tasks
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Is numerical information always beneficial?: Verbal and numerical cue-integration in additive and non-additive tasks
Further perceptions of probability: In defence of associative models
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 1383-1400, 2023
How Deep Is Your Bayesianism?: Peeling the Layers of the Intuitive Bayesian
Ingår i Decision, s. 321-346, 2022
Evaluating user understanding and exposure effects of demand-based tariffs
Ingår i Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, 2022
- DOI för Evaluating user understanding and exposure effects of demand-based tariffs
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Evaluating user understanding and exposure effects of demand-based tariffs
On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect
Ingår i Cognition, 2022
- DOI för On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect
Nudging for eco-friendly online shopping-Attraction effect curbs price sensitivity
Ingår i Journal of Environmental Psychology, 2022
- DOI för Nudging for eco-friendly online shopping-Attraction effect curbs price sensitivity
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Nudging for eco-friendly online shopping-Attraction effect curbs price sensitivity
Ingår i Journal of Environmental Psychology, 2022
- DOI för We are all individuals: Within- and between-subject analysis of relationships between pro-environmental intentions and motivations
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av We are all individuals: Within- and between-subject analysis of relationships between pro-environmental intentions and motivations
Cognitiva Speciebus: Towards a Linnaean Approach to Cognition
Ingår i Trends in cognitive sciences, s. 173-176, 2021
Why do people pursue goals sequentially when they try to balance cost and utility?
Ingår i Journal of Cognitive Psychology, s. 931-950, 2021
- DOI för Why do people pursue goals sequentially when they try to balance cost and utility?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Why do people pursue goals sequentially when they try to balance cost and utility?
Ingår i Energy Research & Social Science, 2020
- DOI för Different strokes for different folks?: Comparing pro-environmental intentions between electricity consumers and solar prosumers in Sweden
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Different strokes for different folks?: Comparing pro-environmental intentions between electricity consumers and solar prosumers in Sweden
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 477-491, 2020
Neurocognitive processes underlying heuristic and normative probability judgments
Ingår i Cognition, 2020
Ingår i Psychology, Crime and Law, s. 494-526, 2019
- DOI för From devil's advocate to crime fighter: confirmation bias and debiasing techniques in prosecutorial decision-making
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av From devil's advocate to crime fighter: confirmation bias and debiasing techniques in prosecutorial decision-making
Ingår i Psychology, Crime and Law, s. 219-247, 2019
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making, s. 513-533, 2019
Ingår i Journal of experimental psychology. General, s. 304-324, 2019
Ingår i Law and human behavior, s. 336-354, 2018
Ingår i Law, Probability and Risk, s. 311-336, 2018
Ingår i Law, Probability and Risk, s. 337-356, 2018
Good things come in small packages: is there a common set of motivators for energy behaviour?
Ingår i Energy Efficiency, s. 1599-1615, 2018
- DOI för Good things come in small packages: is there a common set of motivators for energy behaviour?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Good things come in small packages: is there a common set of motivators for energy behaviour?
A Similarity-Based Process for Human Judgment in the Parietal Cortex
Ingår i Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 2018
Ingår i Cognition, s. 25-41, 2018
Examining the Integrity of Evaluations of Risky Prospects Using a Single-Stimuli Design
Ingår i Decision, s. 362-377, 2017
Ingår i Behavioral Neuroscience, s. 421-427, 2017
Ingår i Journal of Cognitive Psychology, s. 106-128, 2016
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 103-111, 2016
Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, 2015
- DOI för Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Controlled information integration and bayesian inference
Optimizing Electricity Consumption: A Case of Function Learning
Ingår i Journal of experimental psychology. Applied, s. 326-341, 2015
A Swedish validation of the Berlin Numeracy test
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 132-139, 2015
Ingår i Cognition, s. 282-303, 2015
Prospect evaluation as a function of numeracy and probability denominator
Ingår i Cognition, s. 1-9, 2015
Prospect evaluation as a function of numeracy and probability denominator
Ingår i Cognition, s. 1-9, 2015
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 851, 2014
The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 462, 2014
- DOI för The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av The association between higher education and approximate number system acuity
Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
Ingår i Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, s. 270, 2013
- DOI för Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Are there rapid feedback effects on Approximate Number System acuity?
Ingår i Frontiers in Psychology, s. 510, 2013
- DOI för Measuring acuity of the approximate number system reliably and validly: the evaluation of an adaptive test procedure
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Measuring acuity of the approximate number system reliably and validly: the evaluation of an adaptive test procedure
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 782-800, 2013
Calculate or wait: Is man an eager or a lazy intuitive statistician?
Ingår i Journal of Cognitive Psychology, s. 994-1014, 2013
Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats
Ingår i Cognition, s. 248-267, 2011
What Is Coded Into Memory in the Absence of Outcome Feedback?
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1-16, 2010
What is Coded into Memory in the Absence of Outcome Feedback?
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1-16, 2010
Replik på ”mjuka fakta och osannolik noggrannhet”
Ingår i Qvintense, s. 18-19, 2010
Linda is not a bearded lady: Configural weighting and adding as the cause of extension errors
Ingår i Journal of experimental psychology. General, s. 517-534, 2009
Probability theory: Not the very guide of life
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 856-874, 2009
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making, s. 244-260, 2008
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making, s. 244-260, 2008
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1027-1042, 2008
Information integration in multiple-cue judgment: A division of labor hypothesis
Ingår i Cognition, s. 258-298, 2008
The role of random error in confidence judgment: Reply to Merkle, Sieck, and Van Zandt (2008)
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 449-452, 2008
Ingår i Psychology and Aging, s. 531-544, 2008
Exemplars in the Mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 201-212, 2008
The role of short term memory and task experience for overconfidence in judgment under uncertainty
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1027-1042, 2008
Ingår i Psychology and Aging, s. 531-544, 2008
Information integration in multiple-cue judgment: A division-of-labor hypothesis
Ingår i Cognition, s. 258-298, 2008
Exemplars in the mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic.
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 201-212, 2008
Comments: The role of random error in confidence judgment: Reply to Merkle, Sieck, and Van Zandt.
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 449-452, 2008
Ingår i Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, s. 1140-1146, 2007
Constructivist Coding: Learning from Selective Feedback
Ingår i Psychological Science, s. 105-110, 2007
The naive intuitive statistician: A naive sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 678-703, 2007
Constructivist coding: Learning from selective feedback
Ingår i Psychological Science, s. 105-110, 2007
The naive intuitive statistician: A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 678-703, 2007
Ingår i Perception, s. 1421-32, 2006
Multiple-cue judgment in individual and dyadic learning
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, s. 40-56, 2006
Go With the Flow: How to Master a Nonlinear Multiple-Cue Judgment Task
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1371-1384, 2006
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition, s. 163-79, 2006
Individuals and dyads in a multiple-cue judgment task: Cognitive processes and performance
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, s. 40-56, 2006
Capacity limitations and the detection of correlations: Comment on Kareev (2000)
Ingår i Psychol Rev, s. 256-67; discussion 280, 2005
Ingår i Psychol Rev, s. 267, 2005
Evidence for rule-based processes in the inverse base-rate effect.
Ingår i Q J Exp Psychol A, s. 789-815, 2005
The cognitive substrate of subjective probability.
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, s. 600-20, 2005
Note on the rationality of rule-based versus exemplar-based processing in human judgment
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 37-47, 2004
Can attentional theory explain the inverse base-rate effect?: Comments on Kruschke (2001)
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1390-1395, 2003
Cue abstraction and exemplar memory in categorization
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 924-941, 2003
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 34-51, 2003
Judgment processes: Ecology-fostered representations, input samples and human limitations
Ingår i The Brunswik Society Newsletter, 2003
Exemplar effects in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, s. 133-156, 2003
Ingår i Cognitive science, s. 563-607, 2002
Ingår i The European Association for Decision Making (EADM) Newsletter 2002, 2002
Ingår i The Brunswick Society, 2002
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 849-871, 2001
Visual perception of dynamic properties: Cue heuristics versus direct-perceptual competence
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 525-555, 2000
The sensory sampling model: Theoretical developments and empirical findings
Ingår i Food Quality and Preference, s. 27-34, 2000
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 384-396, 2000
Ingår i PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, s. 384-396, 2000
Ingår i Journal of Applied Psychology, s. 42-49, 1999
Format dependence in subjective probability calibration
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1038-1052, 1999
The calibration issue: Theoretical comments on Suantak, Bolger, and Ferrell (1996)
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 3-26, 1998
Realism of confidence in eyewitness vs. earwitness identification
Ingår i Journal of experimental psychology. Applied, s. 101-118, 1998
Auditory inspection time: On the importance of selecting the appropriate sensory continuum
Ingår i Personality and Individual Differences, s. 627-634, 1998
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 415-431, 1998
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 415-431, 1998
Ingår i Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, s. 189-209, 1997
Ingår i Psychological review, s. 344-366, 1997
Ingår i Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition, s. 1304-1316, 1996
Can overconfidence be used as an indicator of reconstructive rather than retrieval processes?
Ingår i Cognition, s. 99-130, 1995
Can overconfidence be used as an indicator of reconstructive rather than retrieval processes?
Ingår i COGNITION, s. 99-130, 1995
Ingår i Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, s. 226-246, 1994
Ingår i Perception and Psychophysics, s. 255-259, 1994
Ingår i European journal of cognitive psychology, s. 55-71, 1993
Calibration of sensory and cognitive judgments: Two different accounts
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 135-148, 1993
Realism of confidence in sensory discrimination: The underconfidence phenomenon.
Ingår i Perception & Psychophysics, s. 75-81, 1993
Artiklar, forskningsöversikt
Ingår i Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, s. 351-373, 2021
- DOI för Precise/not precise (PNP): A Brunswikian model that uses judgment error distributions to identify cognitive processes
- Ladda ner fulltext (pdf) av Precise/not precise (PNP): A Brunswikian model that uses judgment error distributions to identify cognitive processes
Ingår i Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, s. 197-199, 2002
Kapitel i böcker, delar av antologi
Unpacking Intuitive and Analytic Memory Sampling in Multiple-Cue Judgment
Ingår i Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making, s. 177-204, Cambridge University Press, 2023
Ingår i The Encyclopedia of the Mind, Sage Publications, 2013
Ingår i Grunderna i vår tids Psykologi, s. 125-162, Natur och kultur, 2012
The naive intuitive statistician: A naive sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals.
Ingår i Judgement and Decision making, s. 678-703, Sage Publications, 2009
The Naïve Intuitive Statistician: Organism-Environment Relations from yet another Angle.
Ingår i The Probabilistic Mind, s. 237-260, Oxford University Press, 2008
The naive intuitive statistician:Organism-Environment Relations from yet another Angle.
Ingår i The probabilistic mind, s. 237-260, Oxford University Press, 2008
The naïve intuitive statistican: Ecological psychology from yet another angle
Ingår i The probabilistic mind: Prospects for rational models of cognition, Oxford University Press, 2007
Information sampling and overconfidence in interval estimation
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge university Press, New York, 2006
Less is more in contingency assessmentOr is it?
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2006
Taking the interface between mind and environment seriously
Ingår i Information sampling and adaptive cognition, Cambridge university Press, New York, 2006
Ingår i Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition, New York, Cambridge University Press, 2006
Subjective Confidence and the Sampling of Knowledge
Ingår i Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition, Cambridge Unviversity Press, New York, 2006
Ingår i Vår tids psykologi, s. 133-168, Natur & Kultur, Stockholm, 2005
Bedömningar och beslutsfattande: Jakten på Homo Economicus
Ingår i Vår tida psykologi, s. 533-548, Natur & Kultur, Stockholm, 2005
Calibration of confidence among eyewitness and earwitness
Ingår i Metacognition: Process, function, and use, Kluwer, Amsterdam, 2002
Representative design: Causal inference and generalization in cognitive science
Ingår i The essential Brunswik: Beginnings, explications, applications, s. 404-408, Oxford University Press, New York, 2001
Ingår i Judgment and Decision Making: An Interdisciplinary Reader (2nd Ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2000
”I was well calibrated all along”: Assessing accuracy in retrospect
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
Computational models of subjective probability calibration
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, s. 67-96, Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
Introduction and historical remarks
Ingår i Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches, s. 1-6, Erlbaum, Mahwah, 1999
Ingår i Rättspsykologi, s. 136-157, 1996
Ingår i Contributions to Decision Making , Elsevier, 1995
Konferensbidrag
Preferences for everyday objects are transitive
Ingår i Proceedings of the 19th SweCog Conference: Stockholm, October 10-11, 2024, s. 32-36, 2024
Ingår i Proceedings of the 18th SweCog Conference, Swedish Cognitive Society, Göteborg 2023, 5-6 October, s. 27-30, 2023
Cognitive Strategies when Integrating Mutually Dependent Probabilities
2015
Small Samples and the Illusion of Linearity in Judgment
2015
Small Samples and the Illusion of Linearity in Judgment
2015
2015
Prospect Evaluation as a Function of Denominator Neglect
2014
The role of ANS-acuity and numeracy for the accuracy of subjective probability judgments.
2013
People systematically overestimate conjunctive probabilities.
2013
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2013
Effects of Response and Presentation Format on Measures of Approximate Number System Acuity
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 2908-2913, 2013
Is it Time Bayes went Fishing?: Bayesian Probabilistic Reasoning in a Category Learning Task
Ingår i Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 906-911, 2013
Covariation estimates of continuous variables.
2012
Small samples and linear integration: Cognitive constraints on human judgment
2012
Reasoning about probability: Qualitative insight and computational inability
2012
Feedback och information till elkonsumenter
2012
Is it possible to train the approximate number system?
Ingår i Proceedings of the 34th Annual Meeting of theCognitive Science Society, s. 2760, 2012
Covariation estimates of continuous variables
2012
Measuring the Approximate Number System
2012
Covariation estimates of continuous variables.
2011
Knowledge of statistical properties of numerical variables.
2011
Dissociative Knowledge of Distributions.
2010
Intuitive information integration with Bayes' Theorem.
2009
The rationality of weighting and adding probabilities.
2009
Causal models and cognitive representations in multiple cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the 29th Annual Cognitive Science Society, s. 977-982, 2007
Causal models and cognitive representations in multiple cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, 2007
Intervention in multiple-cue judgment: Not always for the better
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2005
Representational shifts in a multiple-cue judgment task with continuous cues
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2004
The additive judge: On the abstraction of explicit knowledge of cue-criterion relations
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 634-639, 2003
Multiple-cue judgment in individual and dyadic learning
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 880-885, 2003
From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society , s. 868-873, 2003
Experience and pseudo-experience: Exemplar effects without feedback
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-fourth annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 714-719, 2002
Cue abstraction and exemplars in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Third Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2002
Mirroring the inverse base-rate effect: The novel symptom phenomenon
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 252-257, 2001
Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity–graded probability
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 471-476, 2001
Rational Assessments of Covariation and Causality
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2000
Fast and frugal use of cue direction in states of limited knowledge
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 841-846, 2000
Algorithm, heuristic or exemplar: Processes and representation in multiple-cue judgment
Ingår i Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, s. 244-249, 2000
Confidence in sensory discrimination: How to increase sensory miscalibration with outcome feedback
Ingår i Proceedings of the twenty-second annual conference of the cognitive science society, s. 496-501, 1999
Evidence for the directness of advanced information pickup
Ingår i Studies in Perception and Action IV: Ninth International Conference on Perception and Action, s. 47-51, 1997
Manuskript (preprint)
Rapporter
Samlingsverk (redaktörskap)
Information sampling and adaptive cognition
Cambride university Press, New York, 2006
Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches
Lawrence Erlbaum Press, 1999
Övriga
Ingår i Acta Psychologica, s. 119-121, 2003
Ingår i American Psychologist, s. 648-653, 2001