Gudlaug Olafsdottir
Researcher (leave of absence) at Department of Peace and Conflict Research
- Telephone:
- +46 18 471 57 42
- E-mail:
- gudlaug.olafsdottir@pcr.uu.se
- Visiting address:
- Gamla Torget 3, 1tr
753 20 Uppsala - Postal address:
- Box 514
751 20 UPPSALA - Leave of absence:
- 2025-11-03 - 2026-07-31
Download contact information for Gudlaug Olafsdottir at Department of Peace and Conflict Research
Short presentation
Gudlaug Olafsdottir is a part time researcher at the DPCR, part time postdoc at Stockholm University. Broadly, her research focuses on the political dynamics of semi-democratic regimes, with a particular focus on electoral politics. With a team based at the DPCR and NAI, she is investigating election boycotts and the conditions under which they are likely yield concessions.
Keywords
- democratization
- electoral boycotts
- electoral violence
- political parties
- citizens
- democratic attitudes
- constitution-making
- autocratization
- international organizations
Biography
Gudlaug Olafsdottir is also a post-doctoral researcher at the Stockholm Center on Global Governance, within the Political Science department at Stockholm University. She obtained her PhD in Peace and Conflict Research in November 2024. She is interested in the intersection between policy and research and has also served as a Short-Term Observer within three OSCE Election Observation Missions, done consultancies for International IDEA and the Dag Hammarskjöld Foundation, and written a policy brief published by Women In International Security on women’s rights in post-conflict settings. She speaks English and Swedish fluently, Icelandic and Spanish well, and knows some basics in French and German.
Research
Her research to date covers topics relating to electoral violence and how it influences democratization, organized student violence, and conflict forecasting, using machine learning techniques to estimate the future risk of armed conflict. Methodologically, she takes a varied approach. Beyond applied statistical modelling, she has conducted qualitative field research in Turkey and Uganda, and contributed to several cross-national quantitative data collection efforts.

Publications
Recent publications
Part of Government and Opposition, p. 313-334, 2025
- DOI for Viewing Violence Through a Partisan Lens: How Electoral Violence Shapes Citizens’ Support for Democracy
- Download full text (pdf) of Viewing Violence Through a Partisan Lens: How Electoral Violence Shapes Citizens’ Support for Democracy
Precarious Paths to Democracy: Electoral Violence and the Struggle for Democratization
2024
The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
- Download full text (pdf) of The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 155-174, 2019
- DOI for ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
- Download full text (pdf) of ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
The Impact of Violent Elections: A Caveat to the Democratization-by-Elections Thesis
All publications
Articles in journal
Part of Government and Opposition, p. 313-334, 2025
- DOI for Viewing Violence Through a Partisan Lens: How Electoral Violence Shapes Citizens’ Support for Democracy
- Download full text (pdf) of Viewing Violence Through a Partisan Lens: How Electoral Violence Shapes Citizens’ Support for Democracy
The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
Part of Environmental Research Letters, 2023
- DOI for The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
- Download full text (pdf) of The 'conflict trap' reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
Part of Journal of Peace Research, p. 155-174, 2019
- DOI for ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
- Download full text (pdf) of ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system